Hurricane Ernesto Intermediate Advisory Number 15A

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052024

800 AM AST Thu Aug 15 2024

 

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA......DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS LIKELY ALONG U.S. EAST COAST BEACHES THIS WEEKEND...

 

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION...24.5N 69.3W

ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SSW OF BERMUDA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

 

None.

 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

 

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

* Bermuda

 

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

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At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was located near latitude 24.5 North, longitude 69.3 West. Ernesto is moving toward the north near 13 mph (20 km/h).  This general motion is expected to continue today, followed by a slower northeastward or northward motion on Friday and Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto is expected to pass near or over Bermuda on Saturday.

 

Maximum sustained winds remain near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, and Ernesto could become a major hurricane by Friday.  Ernesto is forecast to be a large hurricane near Bermuda on Saturday.

 

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km).

 

The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.79 inches) based on data from a dropsonde.