Hurricane Ernesto Advisory Number  19

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052024

500 AM AST Fri Aug 16 2024

 

...ERNESTO EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS, DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING ACROSS BERMUDA STARTING LATER TODAY...

 

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION...28.1N 67.0W

ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM SSW OF BERMUDA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

 

None.

 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

 

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

* Bermuda

 

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

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At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was located near latitude 28.1 North, longitude 67.0 West. Ernesto is moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h).  This general motion is expected to continue today followed by a slower north-northeastward motion on Saturday.  A faster northeastward motion is expected late in the weekend.  On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto is expected to pass near or over Bermuda on Saturday.

 

Maximum sustained winds remain near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and Ernesto is forecast to be a large hurricane near Bermuda on Saturday and maintain hurricane strength through the weekend.

 

Ernesto is a large tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 265 miles (425 km).

 

The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches).