Tropical Storm Francine Intermediate Advisory Number 7A - NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062024 - 700 AM CDT Tue Sep 10 2024

 

...FRANCINE LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE TODAY......HURRICANE WARNING EXTENDED EASTWARD ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST...

 

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...24.5N 95.9W

ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE

ABOUT 395 MI...540 KM SSW OF CAMERON LOUISIANA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES

 

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

 

A Hurricane Warning is now in effect for the Louisiana coast east of Morgan City to Grand Isle.

 

A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the Louisiana coast east of Grand Isle to the mouth of the Pearl River, including metropolitan New Orleans, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake Maurepas.

 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

 

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...

* High Island Texas to the Mouth of the Mississippi River Louisiana

* Vermilion Bay

 

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

* The Louisiana coast from Sabine Pass eastward to Grand Isle

 

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...

* Mouth of the Mississippi River Louisiana to the Mississippi/Alabama Border

* Lake Maurepas

* Lake Pontchartrain

 

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* Morgan City to Grand Isle

* High Island to Sabine Pass

* Mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Mansfield

* La Pesca Mexico to the Mouth of the Rio Grande

* East of Grand Isle Louisiana to Mouth of the Pearl River, including metropolitan New Orleans

* Lake Pontchartrain

* Lake Maurepas

 

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* Barra del Tordo to La Pesca Mexico

* Port Mansfield to High Island Texas

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An elongated area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slight development during the next couple of days, but a tropical depression could still form during that time while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is expected to interact and merge with a strong tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands over the next couple of days. Thereafter, Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this combined system, and a tropical depression will likely form during the latter part of this week while the system moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.