NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172024

900 AM GMT Sat Nov 02 2024

 

...SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY FORMS OVER THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC......EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AZORES THIS WEEKEND...

 

SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION...39.9N 34.4W

ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM WNW OF THE AZORES

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

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There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

 

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

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At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Patty was located near latitude 39.9 North, longitude 34.4 West. The storm is moving toward the east-southeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). A faster  east-southeastward motion is expected through tonight, followed by a turn toward the east and east-northeast on Sunday and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.  Little intensity change is expected today, but gradual weakening is forecast through early next week. Patty could degenerate into a post-tropical cyclone by late Sunday.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).

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OTHER SYSTEMS:

1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad area of low pressure.  Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical

depression is likely to form within the next few days while the system moves generally northward to northwestward over the central and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba.   Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.

 

2. Near the Greater Antilles:  A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and gusty winds extending from near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola northeastward for a few hundred miles are associated with a trough of low

pressure. Slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles. By early next week, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next few days across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas. For more

information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

 

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